They will be racing tomorrow at Navan, Exeter and Uttoxeter.
However, there is only one big race: the Troytown, at Navan.
I had hoped that the Navan card might provide at least one more - but the Monksfield novice hurdle is totally dominated by 2 Gordon Elliott horses.
Exeter and Uttoxeter can offer nothing better than a few class 3 handicaps between them - so it’s going to be a relatively quiet day…
I also won’t be able to suggest any bets in the Troytown until a bit later than normal.
The early markets for the Irish races are invariably weak - so I’ll leave it until 10:00, before I even take a look.
If I can suggest at that time, I will - otherwise, I’ll advise on when I’ll be able to issue...
Navan
2:50
The Troytown is a race that Gordon Elliott tends to target.
Balbriggen won it for him in 2014 - and he then saddled the next 3 winners.
He’s missed out on the 3 most recent runnings - though he did have the runner up last year (behind a horse which was absolutely thrown in).
He saddles 7 tomorrow - including the top 3 in the betting - and it’s very likely that at least one of them will go close.
In truth, this hardly looks a vintage renewal of the race…
Run Wild Fred is the early favourite - but he was beaten in last years Thystes off a mark 9lb lower - and also in the Irish national off a mark 5lb lower.
He’s an admirable horse - and probably sets the race standard - but he is beatable…
It’s a similar story with second favourite, Farclas.
He finished third in the Paddy Power chase last Christmas - but will be running off a 6lb higher mark tomorrow.
He also finished fourth at the Dublin Racing Festival - but will be 5lb higher tomorrow.
Again, there is no reason why he won’t run well - but he’s hardly thrown in.
Lord Royal is Willie Mullins sole representative - and he’s closely matched with Run While Fred.
It’s interesting that Willie is prepared to run him on relatively quick ground, as there had been a conscious move to keep him to softer ground, prior to him running at last seasons Cheltenham festival.
He’s still only 6, and relatively lightly raced - so he should still have plenty of scope for improvement.
Discordantly is quite interesting for Jessie.
He finished fourth in the race last year - when only 6.
That was on the back of an impressive win at Galway, first time out.
He races from a 4lb lower mark tomorrow - and with more experience on his back.
He also doesn’t appear to have a handicap blot to worry about !
Assuming he is tuned up for his seasonal debut, then it’s not hard to see him going well.
Mister Fogpatches disappointed me last time, in the Cork National - but maybe he didn’t handle the heavy ground.
He finished third in the Scottish National on good ground - and if he can recapture that level of form, he has every chance tomorrow.
Tout est Permis won this race in 2018 - and finished third in a grade 1, just over a year ago.
He will appreciate the good ground - and the handicapper has given him a definite chance, off a mark of 149 - and that’s ignoring his riders 5lb claim…
Plenty of others can be given half chances - but nothing really stands out.
It certainly looks a tricky race to solve !
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