Best bets
Aintree3:30
Saint Calvados 0.5pt win 8/1
Matrix bets
Aintree
1:45
Politese 2 units win CEP 28 FP 15
Fil Doudaries 1 unit win CEP 10 FP 11
Peking Rose 1 unit win CEP 15 FP 15
Highway one o two 1 unit win CEP 21 FP 17
Najavo Pass 1 unit win CEP 40 FP 26
3:30
Mister Fisher 1 unit win CEP 15.5 FP 13
4:05
Mac Tottie 1 unit win CEP 11.5 FP 13
Tamaroc du Mathan 1 unit win CEP 25 FP 21
Pink Eyed Pedro 1 unit win 50 FP 34
Riders onthe Storm 1 unit win CEP 65 FP 34
4:40
Bowtogreatness 2 units win CEP 30 FP 17
Fair Frontieres 1 unit win CEP 34 FP 21
Gentleman at Arms 1 unit win CEP 23 FP 21
Bold Endeavour 1 unit win CEP 19 FP 17
5:15
Whizz Kid 1 unit win CEP 5.7 FP 7
Gipsy de Choisel 1 unit win CEP 17 FP 13
1:45
Politese 2 units win CEP 28 FP 15
Fil Doudaries 1 unit win CEP 10 FP 11
Peking Rose 1 unit win CEP 15 FP 15
Highway one o two 1 unit win CEP 21 FP 17
Najavo Pass 1 unit win CEP 40 FP 26
3:30
Mister Fisher 1 unit win CEP 15.5 FP 13
4:05
Mac Tottie 1 unit win CEP 11.5 FP 13
Tamaroc du Mathan 1 unit win CEP 25 FP 21
Pink Eyed Pedro 1 unit win 50 FP 34
Riders onthe Storm 1 unit win CEP 65 FP 34
4:40
Bowtogreatness 2 units win CEP 30 FP 17
Fair Frontieres 1 unit win CEP 34 FP 21
Gentleman at Arms 1 unit win CEP 23 FP 21
Bold Endeavour 1 unit win CEP 19 FP 17
5:15
Whizz Kid 1 unit win CEP 5.7 FP 7
Gipsy de Choisel 1 unit win CEP 17 FP 13
Judging the ground at Aintree yesterday, was like trying to
hit a moving target !
It appeared to be just of the soft side of good, when the first race was run: but showers during the afternoon, meant that it was closer to soft, by the finale.
In fairness, we’re not talking a massive change - but at the highest level, the smallest things can make the difference…
With no rain overnight - and little forecast for today - the assumption is that the ground will remain ‘good to soft’ (though probably closer to ‘soft’).
There are some good races this afternoon - even if not all of them are ideal for betting.
I only managed to find one Best bet on the day (options were limited !) - but there are quite a few interesting ones for the Matrix.
Here’s my thinking…
Aintree
The opening contest (1:45) is a particularly strong handicap, in which I could make a case for quite a few…
Langer Dan, Speech Bubble and Cobblers Dream, have all got good chances - but the market is wise to them and there are others, of equal interest, at bigger prices…
I’ve picked out 5 of them, to cover via the Matrix:
Fil D’oudaries has been picked up by the market, which is a shame - but Nicky Hendersons excellent record in the race, means he has to be included.
Similarly, Peking Rose has been supported in the early market - but is a progressive, young horse, who could be well handicapped.
Highway one o two is well handicapped in comparison to Cobblers Dream - and at twice that ones price, also warrants inclusion.
Whilst Navajo Pass could be very well handicapped - and it strikes me that Donald McCain may have targeted him at this race.
It’s tempting to have 2 units on him - but I’ll save that for Politese.
Her form in mares race in Ireland, suggest that she could be very well handicapped - and she’s another who looks to have been targeted a the race.
I could really fancy her, if it weren’t for the strength of the opposition !
By contrast, nothing much appeals in the 2:20 race.
Jonbon should win - and I would like to see him do so - but he’s not a betting proposition.
El Fabiole could be anything (including not very good !) - and whilst First Street is the obvious alternative, he’s a stablemate of Jonbon (so connections will know where he stands, in comparison to the favourite) - plus has also been well found in the market.
Vina Ardanza is the only one that I considered for the Matrix - but there is a huge amount of guesswork required with him, so I’ve made it a watching race…
The 2:55 is also a watching race - though it should be an enthralling watch !
Ahoy Senor is a very good horse - but he’s likely to be playing third fiddle to Bravemansgame and L’Homme Presse.
It’s impossible to say which one of the pair will come out on top.
I’d favour Bravemansgame, as he is the fresher horse - but it’s not a race in which I feel a need for financial involvement…
I feel that Fakir D’oudaries has to be taken on in the 3:30 - the tricky bit is deciding which one to take him on with.
In fairness, he is the most likely winner - with no obvious chinks in his armour.
However, he is only slightly better than many of his rivals - and a poor jump or a bit of bad luck, will offset that advantage.
He is just too short at 5/4…
All of his rivals have a question mark (or two !) against them - but Saint Calvados is the one I like best.
In terms of pure ability, he is arguably the best horse in the race - and he will have near perfect conditions.
On the flip side, he bled last time - and is clearly hard to train.
However, I’m hopeful that Paul Nichols will have him spot on for today…
I also want to cover Mister Fisher for the Matrix.
My only doubt with him, concerns the ground - but if he gets away with it, he’s capable of running a very big race.
Mac Tottie is my main fancy for the Topham (4:05) - but maybe unsurprisingly, he’s been picked up by all and sundry and his price had gone quite short.
Hopefully he’ll drift a little.
Tamaroc du Mathan is a horse I’ve always liked - and he looks well enough handicapped to go close, provided he handles the fences.
The other 2 of interest, are both really big prices.
Pink Eyed Pedro finished second in the race last year - and must have a good chance off a 2lb lower mark; whilst Riders inthe Storm is a grade 1 winner running off a mark of 140 !
He disappointed last time - but I’m hoping he didn’t like the first time hood (which is left off today).
It’s not a race that I’m overly confident about - but I’m happy to support all 4, with minimum stakes…
I’m quite keen to take on the favourites in the 4:40, as they don’t appear to set an overly high standard.
Most of the runners are stepping up to 3 miles, and it’s guesswork as to which will handle it best.
I’m pretty sure that Fair Frontieres will relish it - plus he has a very good attitude.
Gentleman at Arms, is another who is likely to thrive for the test, having stayed 2 miles on the flat.
There’s a slight doubt over Bold Endeavour - though as an ex PTP winner, I suspect he will improve for the extra distance.
Similarly, Bowtogreatness looks like the sort who will show big improvement, given a serious stamina test.
He’s just about my strongest fancy in the race - but I’m very hopeful that at least one of the four will be able to upset the market leaders…
I was quite keen on Whizz Kid in the finale (5:15) - but unfortunately, so too is everyone else !
I’ll cover him for the Matrix and hope his price drifts a little.
Gipsy de Choisel is the other one I like - and his current price is perfectly acceptable.
He’s a bit more risky - but could be well handicapped.
It’s a race in which I would have liked to get more seriously involved - but my position would have been built around Whizz Kid and I’m not prepared to go in heavily at the current price…
It appeared to be just of the soft side of good, when the first race was run: but showers during the afternoon, meant that it was closer to soft, by the finale.
In fairness, we’re not talking a massive change - but at the highest level, the smallest things can make the difference…
With no rain overnight - and little forecast for today - the assumption is that the ground will remain ‘good to soft’ (though probably closer to ‘soft’).
There are some good races this afternoon - even if not all of them are ideal for betting.
I only managed to find one Best bet on the day (options were limited !) - but there are quite a few interesting ones for the Matrix.
Here’s my thinking…
Aintree
The opening contest (1:45) is a particularly strong handicap, in which I could make a case for quite a few…
Langer Dan, Speech Bubble and Cobblers Dream, have all got good chances - but the market is wise to them and there are others, of equal interest, at bigger prices…
I’ve picked out 5 of them, to cover via the Matrix:
Fil D’oudaries has been picked up by the market, which is a shame - but Nicky Hendersons excellent record in the race, means he has to be included.
Similarly, Peking Rose has been supported in the early market - but is a progressive, young horse, who could be well handicapped.
Highway one o two is well handicapped in comparison to Cobblers Dream - and at twice that ones price, also warrants inclusion.
Whilst Navajo Pass could be very well handicapped - and it strikes me that Donald McCain may have targeted him at this race.
It’s tempting to have 2 units on him - but I’ll save that for Politese.
Her form in mares race in Ireland, suggest that she could be very well handicapped - and she’s another who looks to have been targeted a the race.
I could really fancy her, if it weren’t for the strength of the opposition !
By contrast, nothing much appeals in the 2:20 race.
Jonbon should win - and I would like to see him do so - but he’s not a betting proposition.
El Fabiole could be anything (including not very good !) - and whilst First Street is the obvious alternative, he’s a stablemate of Jonbon (so connections will know where he stands, in comparison to the favourite) - plus has also been well found in the market.
Vina Ardanza is the only one that I considered for the Matrix - but there is a huge amount of guesswork required with him, so I’ve made it a watching race…
The 2:55 is also a watching race - though it should be an enthralling watch !
Ahoy Senor is a very good horse - but he’s likely to be playing third fiddle to Bravemansgame and L’Homme Presse.
It’s impossible to say which one of the pair will come out on top.
I’d favour Bravemansgame, as he is the fresher horse - but it’s not a race in which I feel a need for financial involvement…
I feel that Fakir D’oudaries has to be taken on in the 3:30 - the tricky bit is deciding which one to take him on with.
In fairness, he is the most likely winner - with no obvious chinks in his armour.
However, he is only slightly better than many of his rivals - and a poor jump or a bit of bad luck, will offset that advantage.
He is just too short at 5/4…
All of his rivals have a question mark (or two !) against them - but Saint Calvados is the one I like best.
In terms of pure ability, he is arguably the best horse in the race - and he will have near perfect conditions.
On the flip side, he bled last time - and is clearly hard to train.
However, I’m hopeful that Paul Nichols will have him spot on for today…
I also want to cover Mister Fisher for the Matrix.
My only doubt with him, concerns the ground - but if he gets away with it, he’s capable of running a very big race.
Mac Tottie is my main fancy for the Topham (4:05) - but maybe unsurprisingly, he’s been picked up by all and sundry and his price had gone quite short.
Hopefully he’ll drift a little.
Tamaroc du Mathan is a horse I’ve always liked - and he looks well enough handicapped to go close, provided he handles the fences.
The other 2 of interest, are both really big prices.
Pink Eyed Pedro finished second in the race last year - and must have a good chance off a 2lb lower mark; whilst Riders inthe Storm is a grade 1 winner running off a mark of 140 !
He disappointed last time - but I’m hoping he didn’t like the first time hood (which is left off today).
It’s not a race that I’m overly confident about - but I’m happy to support all 4, with minimum stakes…
I’m quite keen to take on the favourites in the 4:40, as they don’t appear to set an overly high standard.
Most of the runners are stepping up to 3 miles, and it’s guesswork as to which will handle it best.
I’m pretty sure that Fair Frontieres will relish it - plus he has a very good attitude.
Gentleman at Arms, is another who is likely to thrive for the test, having stayed 2 miles on the flat.
There’s a slight doubt over Bold Endeavour - though as an ex PTP winner, I suspect he will improve for the extra distance.
Similarly, Bowtogreatness looks like the sort who will show big improvement, given a serious stamina test.
He’s just about my strongest fancy in the race - but I’m very hopeful that at least one of the four will be able to upset the market leaders…
I was quite keen on Whizz Kid in the finale (5:15) - but unfortunately, so too is everyone else !
I’ll cover him for the Matrix and hope his price drifts a little.
Gipsy de Choisel is the other one I like - and his current price is perfectly acceptable.
He’s a bit more risky - but could be well handicapped.
It’s a race in which I would have liked to get more seriously involved - but my position would have been built around Whizz Kid and I’m not prepared to go in heavily at the current price…
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