Best bets
Sandown5:15
Call me Lord 0.5pt win 11/2
Matrix bets
Sandown
1:50
Doctor Parnassus 1 unit win CEP 8.2 FP 7
Alto Alto 1 unit win CEP 16 FP 11
3:32
Musical Slave 1 unit win CEP 9.2 FP 9
Streets of Doyen 1 unit win CEP 11.5 FP 11
Enrilo 1 unit win CEP 6.2 FP 6
El Paso Wood 1 unit win CEP 60 FP 34
4:40
Nelson River 1 unit win CEP 24 FP 15
5:15
Kamaxos 1 unit win 12.5 FP 11
1:50
Doctor Parnassus 1 unit win CEP 8.2 FP 7
Alto Alto 1 unit win CEP 16 FP 11
3:32
Musical Slave 1 unit win CEP 9.2 FP 9
Streets of Doyen 1 unit win CEP 11.5 FP 11
Enrilo 1 unit win CEP 6.2 FP 6
El Paso Wood 1 unit win CEP 60 FP 34
4:40
Nelson River 1 unit win CEP 24 FP 15
5:15
Kamaxos 1 unit win 12.5 FP 11
Small fields for the condition races at Sandown, have
effectively turned a 7 race card into a 4 race card (from a betting
perspective).
2 of the 4 remaining races, are novice handicaps - and they are difficult to tackle with confidence.
As a consequence, I was left with just 2 races in which to try and find strong bets…
The first of those is the B365 Gold cup - and whilst it’s a very interesting race, it’s also very competitive.
Chances can be given to a number of the runners, making it a race best tackled via the Matrix.
I therefore had to turn to the final race on the card - a decent handicap hurdle - to find the days best bet - and fortunately, I found something suitable (eventually !).
I’ve supplemented that bet, with a few more for the Matrix.
Here’s the thinking…
Sandown
It’s not hard to make a case for at least half a dozen of the runners in the opening race (1:50).
Maybe not too surprisingly, most of them are at the head of the market, so finding ‘value’ is tricky…
I like Doctor Parnassus best, on the back of a solid run in the Triumph hurdle - and in receipt of the 4 year old weight allowance.
Whilst at a bigger price, Alto Alto looks to represent a bit of value, for a stable that’s in very good form.
I couldn’t be confident about either- but they are both worth covering for the Matrix.
I just about like Mister Fisher best in the 2:25 - but I wouldn’t be interested in backing him at 7/4.
In fairness, you are never going to get much bigger about a well fancied horse in a 4 horse race - which is part of the issue with small fields.
However, one mistake and the game will be over - so just the random ‘luck’ element, makes it hard to get involved at that kind of price.
In truth, no result would hugely surprise me, so this has to be a watching race…
It’s a similar story in the 3:00.
I like Nube Negra best - but can’t bring myself to back him (or suggest backing him) at around 7/4.
He will have everything in his favour today - so there should be no excuses.
That said, he is up against a course specialist in Greaneteen - whilst Sceau Royal has the ability to go close.
7/4 is probably a fair price for Nube Negra - but it’s not one that’s going to draw me in…
The B365 Gold cup (3:32) looks very competitive and it’s not easy to whittle down the field.
I think Enrillo is the most likely winner - but he’s priced up accordingly and can only be suggested as a saver.
Musical Slave is the best handicapped horse in the race - and Philip Hobbs has a good record with horses running twice in a week. He warrants inclusion in the Matrix.
Streets of Doyen has ticks in plenty of boxes - and whilst his jumping is a concern, if he gets things right, he could be hard to beat.
The final one of interest, is El Paso Wood. His chance isn’t obvious - but I think he could be capable of a big run, for a stable which is flying at the moment.
Hopefully one of the 4 will come home in front.
The 4:07 is another small field race in which it is hard to find an angle…
Scaramanga strikes me as the most likely race winner - but at 2/1, he’s not a betting proposition.
If there is a bet in the race, it’s likely to be Indefatigable - but she would need to drift to 4/+ for me to be prepared to take a risk.
She finished runner up in this race 12 months ago, and this a arguably a slightly weaker renewal.
On the flip side, she took a heavy fall on her most recent start, which isn’t an ideal preparation for any race !
I’d struggle to choose between the market leaders in the 4:40 - so am disinclined to try !
Brief Ambition is a very good jumper - and that could be a real asset at Sandown.
However, he is stepping up in class - and is likely to be pressurised for the lead.
I can see a scenario in which the race falls apart - and that would suit one of the finishers…
Up the Straight is well handicapped, but is a bit of an under-achiever; whilst Jacamar isn’t particularly well handicapped.
At the prices, it’s therefore worth taking a small risk on Nelson River, who has a chance and has been under-estimated by the market.
The 5:15 is the best betting race of the day.
There’s a reasonable sized field - and a few of the runners can be dismissed.
Whilst I respect the chances of the 2 market leaders - Fifty Ball and Press your Luck - I’m prepared to take them on.
The 2 of main interest, are Kamaxos and Call me Lord.
Kamaxos ran really well at Newbury, 3 runs ago - and definitely has a chance; however, I think he may struggle to beat Call me Lord.
He has a tremendous record at Sandown - and an even better record at this meeting (2 wins and an unlucky third).
He’s been running well this season and is now a very well handicapped horse (20lb below his peak rating).
He has ticks in almost every box - and is the best bet of the day.
Kamaxos is worth covering for the Matrix - just in case Call me Lord doesn’t deliver…
2 of the 4 remaining races, are novice handicaps - and they are difficult to tackle with confidence.
As a consequence, I was left with just 2 races in which to try and find strong bets…
The first of those is the B365 Gold cup - and whilst it’s a very interesting race, it’s also very competitive.
Chances can be given to a number of the runners, making it a race best tackled via the Matrix.
I therefore had to turn to the final race on the card - a decent handicap hurdle - to find the days best bet - and fortunately, I found something suitable (eventually !).
I’ve supplemented that bet, with a few more for the Matrix.
Here’s the thinking…
Sandown
It’s not hard to make a case for at least half a dozen of the runners in the opening race (1:50).
Maybe not too surprisingly, most of them are at the head of the market, so finding ‘value’ is tricky…
I like Doctor Parnassus best, on the back of a solid run in the Triumph hurdle - and in receipt of the 4 year old weight allowance.
Whilst at a bigger price, Alto Alto looks to represent a bit of value, for a stable that’s in very good form.
I couldn’t be confident about either- but they are both worth covering for the Matrix.
I just about like Mister Fisher best in the 2:25 - but I wouldn’t be interested in backing him at 7/4.
In fairness, you are never going to get much bigger about a well fancied horse in a 4 horse race - which is part of the issue with small fields.
However, one mistake and the game will be over - so just the random ‘luck’ element, makes it hard to get involved at that kind of price.
In truth, no result would hugely surprise me, so this has to be a watching race…
It’s a similar story in the 3:00.
I like Nube Negra best - but can’t bring myself to back him (or suggest backing him) at around 7/4.
He will have everything in his favour today - so there should be no excuses.
That said, he is up against a course specialist in Greaneteen - whilst Sceau Royal has the ability to go close.
7/4 is probably a fair price for Nube Negra - but it’s not one that’s going to draw me in…
The B365 Gold cup (3:32) looks very competitive and it’s not easy to whittle down the field.
I think Enrillo is the most likely winner - but he’s priced up accordingly and can only be suggested as a saver.
Musical Slave is the best handicapped horse in the race - and Philip Hobbs has a good record with horses running twice in a week. He warrants inclusion in the Matrix.
Streets of Doyen has ticks in plenty of boxes - and whilst his jumping is a concern, if he gets things right, he could be hard to beat.
The final one of interest, is El Paso Wood. His chance isn’t obvious - but I think he could be capable of a big run, for a stable which is flying at the moment.
Hopefully one of the 4 will come home in front.
The 4:07 is another small field race in which it is hard to find an angle…
Scaramanga strikes me as the most likely race winner - but at 2/1, he’s not a betting proposition.
If there is a bet in the race, it’s likely to be Indefatigable - but she would need to drift to 4/+ for me to be prepared to take a risk.
She finished runner up in this race 12 months ago, and this a arguably a slightly weaker renewal.
On the flip side, she took a heavy fall on her most recent start, which isn’t an ideal preparation for any race !
I’d struggle to choose between the market leaders in the 4:40 - so am disinclined to try !
Brief Ambition is a very good jumper - and that could be a real asset at Sandown.
However, he is stepping up in class - and is likely to be pressurised for the lead.
I can see a scenario in which the race falls apart - and that would suit one of the finishers…
Up the Straight is well handicapped, but is a bit of an under-achiever; whilst Jacamar isn’t particularly well handicapped.
At the prices, it’s therefore worth taking a small risk on Nelson River, who has a chance and has been under-estimated by the market.
The 5:15 is the best betting race of the day.
There’s a reasonable sized field - and a few of the runners can be dismissed.
Whilst I respect the chances of the 2 market leaders - Fifty Ball and Press your Luck - I’m prepared to take them on.
The 2 of main interest, are Kamaxos and Call me Lord.
Kamaxos ran really well at Newbury, 3 runs ago - and definitely has a chance; however, I think he may struggle to beat Call me Lord.
He has a tremendous record at Sandown - and an even better record at this meeting (2 wins and an unlucky third).
He’s been running well this season and is now a very well handicapped horse (20lb below his peak rating).
He has ticks in almost every box - and is the best bet of the day.
Kamaxos is worth covering for the Matrix - just in case Call me Lord doesn’t deliver…
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