Matrix bets
Gowran Park
3:05
Eklat de Rire 2 units win CEP 8.6 FP 9
Escaria Ten 2 units win CEP 11 FP 9
Franco de Port 1 unit win CEP 12 FP 11
Foxy Jacks 1 unit win CEP 34 FP 21
Gowran Park
I decided to swerve the Galmoy hurdle (2:05).
Simply, Klassical Dream should win - and I’m disinclined to bet on him messing things up (which is by far the most likely way that he’ll get beaten)
I’ve spent a lot of time, thinking about how best to handle todays Thystes chase (3:05)…
The main issue I’ve got, is with the state of the ground.
It’s officially described as ‘soft’ - but is clearly drying out.
That’s not really got to suit horses who want ‘heavy’ - but equally, is unlikely to suit horse who want it ‘good’.
If the ground was heavy, then I’d be pretty keen on Eklat de Rire - but on soft ground, my enthusiasm is tempered.
Equally, if the ground was good, Foxy Jack would appear tremendous EW value - but it could be too soft for him.
Escaria Ten and Franco de Port are the 2 others of potential interest.
They are not as ground dependant - but I don’t feel that the case which can be made for them, is quite as strong…
Eventually, I decided that the best way to handle the race, is via the Matrix.
The alternative, was either a Best bet, to win on Eklat de Rire - or EW on Foxy Jack.
It’s a very strong race, and I could certainly give chances to Diol Ker, Braeside, Death Duty and Augusta Gold - tho all 4 would prefer heavy ground.
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