Best bets
Cheltenham4:50
Gumball 0.5pt win 20/1
Matrix bets
Cheltenham
2:10
Capodanno 2 units win CEP 8.8 FP 9
Dusart 1 unit win CEP 26 FP 21
2:50
Drop the Anchor 3 units win CEP 9.8 FP 9
Camprand 2 units win CEP 9.8 FP 11
Gowel Road 1 unit win CEP 13 FP 13
Fastorslow 1 unit win CEP 20 FP 17
Grand Roi 1 unit win CEP 24 FP 21
Saint Felicien 1 unit win CEP 9.8 FP 9
4:50
Embittered 2 units win CEP 15.5 FP 11
Amarillo Sky 1 unit win CEP 10 FP 11
Before Midnight 1 unit win CEP 16 FP 15
Thyme White 1 unit win CEP 13 FP 13
Cheltenham
2:10
Capodanno 2 units win CEP 8.8 FP 9
Dusart 1 unit win CEP 26 FP 21
2:50
Drop the Anchor 3 units win CEP 9.8 FP 9
Camprand 2 units win CEP 9.8 FP 11
Gowel Road 1 unit win CEP 13 FP 13
Fastorslow 1 unit win CEP 20 FP 17
Grand Roi 1 unit win CEP 24 FP 21
Saint Felicien 1 unit win CEP 9.8 FP 9
4:50
Embittered 2 units win CEP 15.5 FP 11
Amarillo Sky 1 unit win CEP 10 FP 11
Before Midnight 1 unit win CEP 16 FP 15
Thyme White 1 unit win CEP 13 FP 13
Day 2 of the festival is invariably the hardest day to find
bets - and that’s certainly the case this year.
With 4 short priced favourites and 2 massive field handicaps - I wasn’t sure that I'd be suggesting any Best bets on the day.
However, I have a big fancy in one of the handicaps - so decided to take the plunge ! (despite him being very popular with others this morning).
In truth, it’s a day on which we should tread carefully...
5mm of water was applied to the course after racing yesterday - and significant rain is expected this afternoon.
It’s therefore anyones guess how the ground will be riding, come mid-afternoon...
Maybe that’s good reason to join the Live thread in the forum - I’ll let you ponder that possibility !
Meanwhile, here’s the thinking behind todays suggested bets…
Cheltenham
Sir Gerhard is by far the most likely winner of the opener (1:30) - but he’s not bomb proof - particularly if the ground does become soft.
In terms of ability, he’s the best horse in the race by some margin - but if it turns into a slog, then anything could happen.
Unfortunately however, there’s nothing that I really fancy to take advantage if he doesn't perform to his best.
Journey with Me is the one of most interest - but he’s second favourite.
A watching race to start with…
Whilst I like the 3 British horses that head the market for the 2:10 - I suspect they are vulnerable today…
Bravemansgame and L’Homme Presse aren’t guaranteed to stay the trip (particularly if the ground gets soft); whilst I suspect Ahoy Senor needs another year to mature.
Capodanno is the most interesting of the Irish runners. He ran really well against Bob Olinger - and that is top class form.
Dusart is more speculative - but Nicky Henderson invariably knows the time of day with his novice chasers, so if he thinks he’s up to this class, he probably is !
Both are worth covering on the Matrix - with the bigger stake on Capodanno
The Coral Cup (2:50) is another very suitable race for the Matrix - it’s just a question of how best to deploy it…
Drop the Anchor is just about my main fancy, as he looks as if he’s been plotted up for it - and will also appreciate the longer trip.
That said, I fancy Camprand almost as much - though he wouldn’t want a lot of rain.
Fastorslow and Grand Roi are interesting Irish raiders. Both are quite speculative - but warrant minimum cover.
And whilst I don’t think the British horses will be good enough, Gowel Road is the best of them, so also warrants a minimum play.
Saint Felicien is the final one. He could be anything - and whilst he is the favourite, it’s worth having him on side, to cover stakes.
I think that the 6 of them, have roughly a 50:50 chance of providing the winner - so adjust stakes accordingly…
I don’t feel the need for financial involvement in the Champion chase (3:30).
It should be an enthralling race - and it's one that I’m happy just to watch.
I hope that Shishkin wins, as the sport needs its superstar - but Energumene and Chac Pour Soi, provide formidable opposition.
If the ground is quick (which seems unlikely), then I’ll probably take a small chance on Nube Negra.
I suspect he will be ready to run for his life - but he won’t want any rain (falling on watered ground !).
Tiger Roll is another one who won’t want rain (watering isn’t possible on the cross country course) in the 4:10.
Apparently he is in top form - and if that’s the case, then he’s likely to be different class to his rivals.
Certainly, I expect Gordon Elliott to have him spot on, with a place in the history books up for grabs.
If he does come up short, then it’s a nearly impossible race to call, as all of his opponents have question marks over them.
JP McManus owns 4 of the runner and they could all be given a chance, if fully primed.
I suspect the market will be the best guide to this race.
I really think that Gumball is a great bet in the Grand Annual (4:50).
He’s a horse I love - even though he nearly broke my heart when falling at the second last in a novice chase over the course, last season !
A few below par runs this season, have seen him drop 8lb - which looks too much.
I also like the fact he arrives fresh - and with first time cheek pieces applied.
The likely ferocious pace should help him settle (ideally, just behind the leaders) - and I expect him to run a massive race.
Embittered looks like the biggest danger - and he is worth covering on the Matrix.
I’ll also cover Before Midnight, Thyme White and Amarillo Sky, to minimum stakes.
I can see issues with all 3 - but if they overcome those, they are all capable of running really well.
I’ve really not got a strong view on the bumper (5:30).
The finish is likely to be fought out by Facile Vega and American Mike - unless one of Willies lesser lights, steps up a level !
I was really taken by Rosy Redrum last time, so I’ve had a couple of quid on her - but it’s more in hope than expectation…
With 4 short priced favourites and 2 massive field handicaps - I wasn’t sure that I'd be suggesting any Best bets on the day.
However, I have a big fancy in one of the handicaps - so decided to take the plunge ! (despite him being very popular with others this morning).
In truth, it’s a day on which we should tread carefully...
5mm of water was applied to the course after racing yesterday - and significant rain is expected this afternoon.
It’s therefore anyones guess how the ground will be riding, come mid-afternoon...
Maybe that’s good reason to join the Live thread in the forum - I’ll let you ponder that possibility !
Meanwhile, here’s the thinking behind todays suggested bets…
Cheltenham
Sir Gerhard is by far the most likely winner of the opener (1:30) - but he’s not bomb proof - particularly if the ground does become soft.
In terms of ability, he’s the best horse in the race by some margin - but if it turns into a slog, then anything could happen.
Unfortunately however, there’s nothing that I really fancy to take advantage if he doesn't perform to his best.
Journey with Me is the one of most interest - but he’s second favourite.
A watching race to start with…
Whilst I like the 3 British horses that head the market for the 2:10 - I suspect they are vulnerable today…
Bravemansgame and L’Homme Presse aren’t guaranteed to stay the trip (particularly if the ground gets soft); whilst I suspect Ahoy Senor needs another year to mature.
Capodanno is the most interesting of the Irish runners. He ran really well against Bob Olinger - and that is top class form.
Dusart is more speculative - but Nicky Henderson invariably knows the time of day with his novice chasers, so if he thinks he’s up to this class, he probably is !
Both are worth covering on the Matrix - with the bigger stake on Capodanno
The Coral Cup (2:50) is another very suitable race for the Matrix - it’s just a question of how best to deploy it…
Drop the Anchor is just about my main fancy, as he looks as if he’s been plotted up for it - and will also appreciate the longer trip.
That said, I fancy Camprand almost as much - though he wouldn’t want a lot of rain.
Fastorslow and Grand Roi are interesting Irish raiders. Both are quite speculative - but warrant minimum cover.
And whilst I don’t think the British horses will be good enough, Gowel Road is the best of them, so also warrants a minimum play.
Saint Felicien is the final one. He could be anything - and whilst he is the favourite, it’s worth having him on side, to cover stakes.
I think that the 6 of them, have roughly a 50:50 chance of providing the winner - so adjust stakes accordingly…
I don’t feel the need for financial involvement in the Champion chase (3:30).
It should be an enthralling race - and it's one that I’m happy just to watch.
I hope that Shishkin wins, as the sport needs its superstar - but Energumene and Chac Pour Soi, provide formidable opposition.
If the ground is quick (which seems unlikely), then I’ll probably take a small chance on Nube Negra.
I suspect he will be ready to run for his life - but he won’t want any rain (falling on watered ground !).
Tiger Roll is another one who won’t want rain (watering isn’t possible on the cross country course) in the 4:10.
Apparently he is in top form - and if that’s the case, then he’s likely to be different class to his rivals.
Certainly, I expect Gordon Elliott to have him spot on, with a place in the history books up for grabs.
If he does come up short, then it’s a nearly impossible race to call, as all of his opponents have question marks over them.
JP McManus owns 4 of the runner and they could all be given a chance, if fully primed.
I suspect the market will be the best guide to this race.
I really think that Gumball is a great bet in the Grand Annual (4:50).
He’s a horse I love - even though he nearly broke my heart when falling at the second last in a novice chase over the course, last season !
A few below par runs this season, have seen him drop 8lb - which looks too much.
I also like the fact he arrives fresh - and with first time cheek pieces applied.
The likely ferocious pace should help him settle (ideally, just behind the leaders) - and I expect him to run a massive race.
Embittered looks like the biggest danger - and he is worth covering on the Matrix.
I’ll also cover Before Midnight, Thyme White and Amarillo Sky, to minimum stakes.
I can see issues with all 3 - but if they overcome those, they are all capable of running really well.
I’ve really not got a strong view on the bumper (5:30).
The finish is likely to be fought out by Facile Vega and American Mike - unless one of Willies lesser lights, steps up a level !
I was really taken by Rosy Redrum last time, so I’ve had a couple of quid on her - but it’s more in hope than expectation…
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